Monday, January 31, 2011

Severe Weather Expected Tuesday- Starkville, MS

This is the current severe weather outlook according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Warm air already in place along with moderate amounts of moisture ahead of an approaching cold front will create an unstable environment on Tuesday.  Areas along and south of I-20 have the highest chance of severe thunderstorms.  Any of these thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong winds in excess of 60 MPH and tornadoes.  Scattered severe thunderstorms will likely occur across most of the central portions of the state, however these areas will have slightly lower dew points and thicker cloud cover so the tornado chances are lower.  Thunderstorms will still have the capability of producing winds to 60 MPH though.  Areas north of Tupelo into Alabama, Tennessee, and northern Arkansas will likely remain cooler throughout the day which will keep thunderstorms from becoming very strong.

This map shows the most likely time for any severe weather to occur.  As thunderstorms develop during the morning hours in eastern Texas, they will push to the east throughout the day.  Most of the strongest thunderstorms will come into Mississippi by early afternoon and the Starkville area by sunset.  After sunset, most thunderstorms will weaken and dissipate except for areas along the Alabama coast and Florida panhandle.

UPDATED- Ice Forecast for Leesburg, VA on Tuesday

This is the current ice accumulation map for Leesburg.  I've lowered the ice totals because I think warm air will move in quicker than I first thought.  Snow/sleet will likely begin falling late Monday night into Tuesday morning when it will mix with and eventually turn to freezing rain.  Freezing rain will continue through Tuesday morning before becoming all rain for the remainder of the day.  Leesburg will likely see 0.1 to 0.2 inches of ice Tuesday morning, which will melt off by the afternoon as temperatures warm up and rain falls.  Areas east of D.C. will see rain throughout the entire storm.  Areas in the Appalachian mountains and to the west may see slightly higher amounts of ice (0.2 to 0.3 inches) before freezing rain becomes all rain.  Snow will fall for most of the day in Pennsylvania but will eventually turn to rain late in the day.  Areas in extreme northern Maryland and southern Pennsylvania may see 1 to 2 inches of snow.  Rain will continue for most of the area overnight before ending midday Wednesday.  I will update this map as the storm develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Showers through 3AM, then remaining cloudy.  Low temperature around 51.

Monday-  Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles throughout the day.  High temperature around 65.

Monday night-  Mostly cloudy with showers developing after midnight.  Low temperature around 53.

Tuesday-  Cloudy, breezy, and warm.  Showers in the morning continuing throughout the day.  Thunderstorms developing by the evening.  Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe, with wind gusts of up to 60 MPH.  Winds throughout the day gusting upwards of 30 MPH.  High temperature around 71.

Tuesday night-  Thunderstorms ending by 9PM, becoming a steady rain until 1AM.  Becoming much colder overnight.  Low temperature around 35.

Wednesday-  Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few sprinkles or snow flurries.  Clearing by the afternoon with a high temperature around 43.

Wednesday night-  Increasing clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 26.

Thursday-  Scattered clouds throughout the day.  High temperature around 45.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Mostly cloudy with a low temperature around 28.

Monday-  Cloudy and cold.  High temperature around 31.

Monday night-  Cloudy during the evening, with light snow and sleet mixed developing by 1AM.  Little to no accumulation expected.  Low temperature around 26.

Tuesday-  Cloudy with light freezing rain and sleet in the morning, becoming all rain by 2PM.  Ice accumulations of 0.1 to 0.15 inches possible during the morning, but melting off during the afternoon.  High temperature around 35.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy with rain continuing overnight.  Rain will not freeze because the temperature will remain above freezing.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  Cloudy with rain through most of the morning.  The rain could be heavy at times during the late morning.  The steady rain should end by 3PM with occasional showers for the rest of the day.  High temperature around 41.

Wednesday night-  Mostly cloudy with a few light showers and sprinkles through the evening.  Low temperature around 24.

Thursday-  Mostly sunny and breezy with a high temperature around 32.  Winds could gust as high as 30 MPH.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Severe Potential for Tuesday-Starkville, MS

This is the current severe weather outlook according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Warm air and ample moisture currently in place ahead of an approaching cold front will spark thunderstorms Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.  These storms will move eastward across Louisiana and Mississippi Tuesday afternoon, reaching western Alabama by sunset or shortly after sunset.  Areas around and south of I-20 in northern Louisiana and southern Mississippi (Jackson, Meridian, New Orleans) have the greatest risk of severe weather.  Severe thunderstorms with wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH are possible in these areas (highlighted in red) where a few tornadoes are also possible given the amount of shear in place.  Clouds and morning showers will keep temperatures and instability slightly lower further to the north along I-82 in central Mississippi (Starkville, Columbus, Winona) where the risk for severe weather is lower.  Strong thunderstorms with wind gusts of up to 40 MPH are possible in this area (highlighted in orange).  I will keep this updated as the storm system develops.

Snow/Ice Forecast for Tuesdsay/Tuesday Night- Leesburg, VA

This is the current forecast for ice accumulations in Leesburg.  I have Leesburg receiving between 0.2 and 0.25 inches of sleet and freezing rain on Tuesday into Tuesday evening.  Areas to the east of Leesburg toward Fairfax and D.C. will see lesser amounts of ice accumulation because temperatures will be warmer at the surface.  Areas west of Leesburg in the Appalachian mountains may see a little more ice as temperatures warm slower.  The majority of snowfall will occur in Pennsylvania and New York.  At first it appeared temperatures would be cooler allowing for more precipitation to fall as snow, however the latest models show warmer air aloft causing precipitation to fall as sleet and freezing rain.  The precipitation may begin as a mixture of snow and sleet late Monday night into early Tuesday morning before becoming all sleet and freezing rain early Tuesday.  Temperatures will warm to just above freezing Tuesday afternoon before falling just below freezing by evening time.  Overnight as the center of low pressure nears, temperatures will warm again above freezing, causing freezing rain and sleet to change over to a cold rain.  Rain will continue overnight and end by early to mid morning Wednesday.  I will keep this updated as the storm develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Today (Sunday)-  Mostly cloudy with showers developing during the afternoon.  High temperature around 63.

Tonight-  Showers mainly during the evening.  Remaining cloudy overnight.  Low temperature around 50.

Monday-  Partly to mostly cloudy with a shower possible during the afternoon.  High temperature around 66.

Monday night-  Cloudy with showers developing late.  Low temperature around 52.

Tuesday-  Showers likely in the morning.  Thunderstorms developing by mid to late afternoon.  Some of the storms could be severe with strong winds and heavy rain.  Breezy during the afternoon with winds out of the southeast around 20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH.  High temperature around 65.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy with thunderstorms during the evening, becoming a steady rain for a few hours after midnight.  Breezy conditions continuing and becoming cooler.  Low temperature around 47.

Wednesday-  Cloudy during the morning with partial clearing by the afternoon.  Continued breezy with winds gusting upwards of 30 MPH.  High temperature around 48 through early afternoon, dropping to around 38 by sunset.

Leesburg, VA

Today (Sunday)-  Mostly sunny skies with increasing clouds through the afternoon.  High temperature around 37.

Tonight-  Cloudy skies with a low temperature around 25.

Monday-  Cloudy with a chance of flurries or light snow during the late afternoon.  No accumulation expected.  High temperature around 34.

Monday night-  Cloudy with a chance of snow during the evening, then mixing with sleet or freezing rain after midnight.  Low temperature around 31.

Tuesday-  Cloudy with sleet and freezing rain during the morning, becoming all freezing rain and eventually rain as temperatures warm above freezing during the afternoon.  Ice accumulations around 0.1 to 0.2 inches during the morning.  High temperature around 35.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy with rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain or pockets of sleet during the evening.  Little to no ice accumulation expected.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  Cloudy with rain likely, mainly during the morning and early afternoon.  High temperature around 41.

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Clear with a low temperature around 36.

Saturday-  Sunny and warm.  High temperature around 67.

Saturday night-  Mostly clear during the evening, with a few clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 41.

Sunday-  Mostly cloudy with on and off showers throughout the day.  High temperature around 61.

Sunday night-  Mostly cloudy with continued intermittent showers.  Low temperature around 44.

Monday-  Cloudy during the morning, with partial clearing toward the afternoon.  High temperature around 63.

Monday night-  Mostly cloudy with an increasing chance of showers overnight.  Low temperature around 47.

Tuesday-  Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms by late afternoon.  Some of the storms could be strong.  Mostly cloudy with a high temperature around 60.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Mostly clear skies with a few scattered clouds before sunrise.  Low temperature around 27.

Saturday-  Mostly cloudy skies with a chance of flurries during the afternoon.  High temperature around 36.

Saturday night-  Mostly cloudy with a low temperature around 25.

Sunday-  A few clouds in the morning with partial clearing toward the early afternoon.  High temperature around 38.

Sunday night-  Mostly clear with a low temperature around 24.

Monday-  Mostly sunny with a few high clouds late in the day.  High temperature around 39.

Monday night-  Cloudy skies with a slight chance of flurries or light snow.  No accumulation expected.  Low temperature around 25.

Tuesday-  Cloudy with occasional snow showers throughout the day.  No accumulation expected during the day.  High temperature around 34.

Friday, January 28, 2011

ANOTHER Winter Storm?

It looks like there could be another winter storm in the works for northern Virginia on Wednesday  So far, models indicate that there will be between 0.3 and 0.5 inches of total precipitation in Leesburg, however temperatures will effect how it falls.  As of right now, Leesburg will see a high temperature of 34 on Wednesday, making it a little too warm for snow at the surface which may cut back on totals.  I believe Leesburg will see anywhere from 2 to 4 inches, since this storm does not seem as potent as the last one.  Areas east of Leesburg will receive from 1 to 2 inches where rain will fall for most of the afternoon cutting back on total accumulations.  Areas west of Leesburg toward Winchester and the Appalachian mountains may see 4 to 8 inches where cold air will be persistent throughout the storm.  I will continue to update this as the storm develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Today (Friday)-  Sunny with a high temperature around 59.

Tonight-  Clear with a low temperature around 37.

Saturday-  Sunny with a high temperature around 64.

Saturday night-  Clear during the evening, with increasing clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 41.

Sunday-  Cloudy with a chance of showers throughout the day.  High temperature around 57.

Sunday night-  Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, ending by midnight.  Low temperature around 39.

Monday-  Partly cloudy with decreasing clouds by late afternoon.  High temperature around 61.

Leesburg, VA

Today (Friday)-  Snow showers in the morning, mixing with rain during the afternoon and ending by sunset.  No snow accumulation expected.  High temperature around 36.

Tonight-  Mostly cloudy with a low temperature around 25.

Saturday-  Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of flurries or snow showers during the late morning and early afternoon.  No snow accumulation expected.  High temperature around 37.

Saturday night-  Clouds early, clearing later.  Low temperature around 26.

Sunday-  Sun and clouds throughout most of the day.  High temperature around 39.

Sunday night-  Clouds at times.  Low temperature around 24.

Monday-  Mostly cloudy with a high temperature around 40.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Internet Issues

Well the internet went down last night just as I finished my 5 Day forecasts.  SO I'll be putting up NEW 5 Day forecasts later tonight as well as snow total maps from Wednesday in Virginia.  So far it looks like I was off by about an inch with my forecasts.  Reports of 9 to 10 inches in Leesburg, and 11 to 13 inches from Purcellville to Lucketts.  It looks like the bulls eye was oriented from southwest to northeast right over western and northern Loudoun county and northeast into Maryland toward western Baltimore county.  Winchester finished with about 8 to 10 inches (where I thought the bulls eye would be).  I'll have my forecasts up a little later tonight.

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Winter Storm Update

Here's the current radar from northern Virginia.  Snow is continuing to fall across most of northern Virginia, D.C., and central/western Maryland.  So far Leesburg has received between 2 and 3 inches of snow.  Snow will continue for the rest of the evening into tonight when it will taper off around 11PM.  Leesburg will see an additional 3 to 5 inches of snow before the storm is over.  Total accumulations will range from 6 to 8 inches across Leesburg, with higher amounts to the west.

WINTER STORM UPDATE

This is the current radar image.  Blue/green is rain which is currently falling through most of Virginia.  Snow (white/pink) is falling further west toward the mountains.  As the precipitation moves in, temperatures will drop as colder air moves in from the northwest.  When it does, rain will change to snow and fall heavy at times.  There is a slight chance of "thundersnow" (lightning and thunder associated with snow, basically a thunderstorm of snow) with some of the heavier snow bands.

This is the forecast snow total map.  I have kept Leesburg in 6 to 8 inches because the storm seems to be taking the same track as it was forecast to yesterday.  Areas west of Leesburg, as close as Purcellville may see 8 to 10 inches of snow, however most 10+ inch accumulations will occur closer to Winchester along the Appalachian mountains.  Areas east of Leesburg toward Sterling and Herndon will most likely see accumulations around 3 to 6 inches.  Areas farther east of that will see lower accumulations (1 to 3 inches) due to a longer period of rain.

This is the current watch/warning map.  Areas in pink are under a Winter Storm Warning until 4AM Thursday and will see snow totals of at least 5 inches.  Counties in purple are under a Winter Weather Advisory where they will see lower amounts of snow, around 1 to 3 inches.

UPDATED-Snow Forecast Wednesday-Leesburg, VA

This is the current snow total forecast for Leesburg.  I think areas in and around Leesburg will finish this storm off with 7 to 8 inches of snow easily.  Areas west of Leesburg toward the mountains will see 8 to 10 inches, with isolated totals up to 12 inches.  Areas in and around D.C. will see totals from 3 to 5 inches of snow, with lower totals further east toward the bay.  These totals are also slightly on the lower side because warmer air already in place will cause precipitation to begin as rain in most areas.  The faster the cold air moves in and changes it over to snow the higher the totals will be.  However, at this point I feel confident saying 7 inches for Leesburg.  I'll update this map tomorrow morning as the storm progresses.

This is the current weather advisory map.  Most of the area is still under a Winter Storm Watch (dark blue), which will likely be turned into a Winter Storm Warning.  Areas along the mountains and to the south and west of Leesburg are under a Winter Storm Warning (pink) from 7AM Wednesday morning through Midnight Wednesday night/Thursday morning.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Cloudy skies with areas of drizzle at times.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  A few lingering clouds in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny by afternoon.  High temperature around 45.

Wednesday night-  Mostly clear with a low temperature around 27.

Thursday-  Mostly sunny and warmer.  High temperature around 52.

Thursday night-  Clear with a low temperature around 33.

Friday-  Sunny and mild.  High temperature around 57.

Friday night-  Clear and not as cold.  Low temperature around 36.

Saturday-  Sunny and warm.  High temperature around 62.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Light rain with snow mixed in beginning around 3AM.  No snow accumulation expected overnight.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  Rain and snow mixed in the morning, becoming all snow by 9AM.  The snow will continue through the rest of the day, falling heavy at times.  Total snow accumulation during the day around 5 inches.  High temperature around 35 in the morning, dropping throughout the day to around 30 by sunset.

Wednesday night-  Snow continuing through 10PM before tapering off.  Additional accumulation after sunset of 2 to 3 inches.  Total accumulations between 7 and 8 inches.  Low temperature around 27.

Thursday-  Mostly cloudy with partial clearing toward the late afternoon.  High temperature around 33.

Thursday night-  Overcast with a chance of a few flurries.  Low temperature around 24.

Friday-  Mostly sunny with a few afternoon clouds.  High temperature around 36.

Friday night-  A few scattered clouds.  Low temperature around 21.

Saturday-  Mostly sunny with a high temperature around 42.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Current Radar-Starkville, MS

This is the radar image from 7:40 PM showing snow across northern parts of the delta of Mississippi and western Tennessee.  Rain is still falling ahead of the cold air in northern/central Mississippi.  The cold air will move along with the back edge of the precipitation as it continues to push off to the east this evening.  Light rain will likely begin in Starkville within the next hour (by 9PM) and continue on and off through around 11PM when it may mix with some wet snow.

Snowfall Forecast for Wednesday-Leesburg, VA

This is the snowfall forecast map for Leesburg.  I'm forecasting a pretty sharp cut-off line just east of Loudoun county where rain will probably lower snow totals.  In Leesburg, I'm forecasting 4 to 6 inches, however if temperatures lower, these amounts may be higher.  Areas west of Leesburg toward Winchester and through the mountains may see as much as 10 inches of snow, however most areas will likely see 5 to 8 inches.  Areas east of Leesburg, toward D.C. and the Chesapeake Bay will see 1 to 2 inches, with lower amounts closer to the bay where rain will fall for a large portion of the day.


The entire metro area is under a Winter Storm Watch (meaning snowfall totals could exceed 5 inches) from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night.  Areas in dark blue indicate a Winter Storm Watch.  Counties in pink are under a Winter Storm Warning, and counties in purple are under a Winter Weather Advisory (lighter accumulations).  A Winter Storm Warning will likely be issued for northern Virginia and western Maryland tomorrow so I will update the maps when that happens.

Snowfall Forecast and Timing for Tonight-Starkville, MS

This is the current snowfall forecast accumulation.  I think areas around the I-82 corridor may see up to 1/2" of snow tonight mainly on grass and cars.  The roads will be too warm for snow to stick.  Areas around Tupelo may see as much as 2 inches of snow, however most areas will see around 1 inch.  The "bulls eye" for this storm will be in western Tennessee, where they could see 3 to 5 inches of snow.  Areas south of Starkville and Columbus may see a few wet snowflakes mixed in with rain, but will not see any accumulation.


This map shows what time snow will likely begin to mix in with rain.  The delta of Mississippi will most likely see snow begin around 9PM tonight.  Snow will begin to mix in around Starkville, Tupelo, and Columbus by 11PM.  Areas east of there will see snow mix in shortly after midnight as temperatures continue to drop.  Snow will only last for an hour or two before ending shortly after midnight.

Monday, January 24, 2011

Snowfall Forecast for Wednesday-Leesburg, VA

I have raised some of the snowfall totals slightly, since forecast temperatures may be cooler as I first thought.  I'm expecting snowfall from 2 to 3 inches in Leesburg, with amounts as high as 4 inches to areas north and west of Leesburg.  Areas east of D.C. will see mostly, if not all rain, while areas west of there will see some snow.  Snow will likely begin sometime early Wednesday morning and continue through mid morning with minor accumulations.  Rain will likely mix in for areas around D.C. and Leesburg, but will return back to snow after sunset around 8PM.  Snow will likely continue for a few hours before ending shortly before midnight.

Snowfall Forecast for Tuesday-Starkville, MS

This is the current snowfall forecast for Starkville.  We'll see rain everywhere across the map during the day Tuesday.  However, as the low pressure slides to our east and ushers in colder air from the north, we'll see a change over to snow.  Most locations along the I-82 corridor will see a dusting to 1 inch of snow Tuesday night, mainly on grass.  Areas north of Tupelo and into the delta of Mississippi may see slightly more snow as the colder air moves in earlier than the precipitation can move out.  These areas could see as much as 3 inches of snow.  Areas south of Louisville toward Meridian and Jackson will only see rain.

Video Broadcast-Starkville, MS

video

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Tonight-  Rain developing this evening and continuing overnight.  Low temperature around 40.

Tuesday-  Rain throughout most of the day.  High temperature around 45, but falling to around 38 by sunset.

Tuesday night-  Rain continuing through 8PM, then possibly mixing with or briefly changing to snow.  Snow accumulation up to 1 inch on grass and metal surfaces.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  Cloudy skies in the morning, becoming sunny by the afternoon.  High temperature around 42.

Wednesday night-  Mostly clear with a low temperature around 26.

Thursday-  Mostly sunny with a high temperature around 45.

Thursday night-  Clear with a low temperature around 29.

Friday-  Mostly sunny and warmer.  High temperature around 55.

Leesburg, VA

Tonight-  Mostly cloudy with a low temperature around 20.

Tuesday-  Mostly cloudy with a high temperature around 45.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy with a chance of snow after midnight.  Low temperature around 32.

Wednesday-  Cloudy with snow before noon.  The snow may mix with or change to rain during the afternoon as temperatures rise above freezing.  Snow accumulation around 1 inch.  High temperature around 35.

Wednesday night-  Snow likely mainly before 10PM.  Total snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches.  Low temperature around 28.

Thursday-  Mostly cloudy with a high temperature around 37.

Thursday night-  Clearing skies and cold.  Low temperature around 20.

Friday-  Mostly sunny skies with a high temperature around 35.

UPDATED- Snowfall Forecasts Wednesday for Leesburg, VA


Here are some updated snowfall forecast totals for Leesburg.  I've lowered a lot of the totals mostly because it looks like there will be more warm air moving in from the southeast than I first thought.  High temperatures will probably get up to around 35 on Wednesday in Leesburg, which may cause rain to mix in with snow or completely change over to rain for a little while Wednesday afternoon.  As of right now, it looks like snow will begin falling shortly before sunrise Wednesday morning.  Snow will continue throughout the morning before mixing with or changing to rain during the afternoon.  By sunset, the rain may briefly mix with or change over to snow before ending around 8PM Wednesday night.  I'm expecting about 2 inches in Leesburg with higher amounts to the west toward the mountains where temperatures will remain lower throughout the day.  I'll keep an eye on this storm as it develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Mostly cloudy skies with a chance of a few sprinkles.  Low temperature around 35.

Monday-  Cloudy with a chance of showers, more toward sunset.  High temperature around 53.

Monday night-  Cloudy with rain likely mainly after midnight.  Low temperature around 38.

Tuesday-  Cloudy with rain throughout most of the day.  High temperature around 50.

Tuesday night-  Rain until around 10PM, when snow may mix in.  No snow accumulation is likely at this time.  Low temperature around 34.

Wednesday-  Other than a few scattered showers mixed with snow, cloudy through noon with partial clearing late in the day.  Becoming breezy with a northwest wind of about 10 MPH.  High temperature around 45.

Wednesday night-  Mostly clear and cold.  Low temperature around 28.

Thursday-  Mostly sunny and chilly.  High temperature around 43.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Clear and bitter cold.  Low temperature around 10.

Monday-  Mostly sunny and continued cold.  High temperature around 28.

Monday night-  Mostly cloudy and cold.  Low temperature around 20.

Tuesday-  Mostly cloudy with increasing cloud coverage by sunset.  High temperature around 40.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy with a chance of snow after 2AM.  Little to no snowfall accumulation before sunrise.  Low temperature around 29.

Wednesday-  Cloudy with snow, possibly mixed with rain during the afternoon.  If rain does not mix in, snow totals will be much higher.  At this time, snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected.  High temperature around 35.

Wednesday night-  Cloudy with snow ending around 8PM.  Total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches.  Low temperature around 26.

Thursday-  Other than a few clouds, mostly sunny.  High temperature around 34.

Friday, January 21, 2011

Snowstorm Possible Tuesday for Leesburg, VA


This is a preliminary snow totals map I made.  While these totals may drastically change, this is what the snow totals look like so far.  I'm thinking that Leesburg will get anywhere between 4 and 6 inches, with some areas receiving as much as 8.  Areas to the north in Maryland and Pennsylvania will see much higher totals as the storm intensifies off of the coast.  Rain should not be much of a factor for areas south of D.C., however snow may not be as heavy.  As for timing, it appears the snow may begin as early as 5AM Tuesday morning and continue throughout the day.  Snow may be heavy at times during the afternoon and into Tuesday evening.  It looks like the snow will probably end by early Wednesday morning before sunrise.  I'll keep you updated as the development of the storm progresses.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight- Mostly cloudy skies throughout the night and cold.  Low temperature around 22.

Saturday- Mostly cloudy in the morning but becoming sunny by afternoon.  High temperature around 45.

Saturday night- Mostly clear and again cold.  Low temperature around 23.

Sunday- Other than a few afternoon clouds, mainly clear.  High temperature around 50.

Sunday night- Increasing clouds.  A few showers possible before sunrise, with a low temperature of around 35.

Monday- Cloudy with on and off rain throughout the day.  High temperature around 50.

Monday night- Cloudy with continued showers.  Low temperature around 34.

Tuesday- Mostly cloudy, with some clearing toward the afternoon.  Showers in the morning which may mix with a few wet snow flakes at times.  High temperature around 44.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight- Clear and bitter cold.  Low temperature of 11.

Saturday- Mostly sunny and continued freezing cold.  High temperature of only 26.

Saturday night- Clear and again cold.  Low temperature of 15.

Sunday- Mostly sunny and continued cold.  It may be breezy during the afternoon.  High temperature of 28.

Sunday night- Clear skies and cold.  Low temperature of 12.

Monday- Mostly sunny with a high temperature of 28.

Monday night- Increasing clouds with a low temperature of 20.

Tuesday- Snow likely.  Current models show snow beginning around 6AM and continuing until Wednesday morning.  As of right now, snow totals could be anywhere from 4 to 6 inches.  High temperature of around 31.

More info to come about the possible snow storm on Tuesday.

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Current Conditions

This is the current radar image from Leesburg, VA.


Blue/green indicates areas of light rain, pink is areas of light sleet or freezing rain, and gray/white is snow.  You can see the majority of the precipitation is falling as rain in Leesburg and snow is falling toward the north around Westminister, MD.  Again overnight tonight only about 1 inch of snowfall is expected in Leesburg.  Because of the fact that rain may still be falling, it may cut down on final snow totals.

For Starkville, MS, our chance of snow is gone.  The precipitation moved out of the area before it could change over to snow.  Areas to the north saw a few flurries earlier, but nothing substantial.  Expect skies to clear overnight, and temperatures to drop to around 24.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Today (Thursday)- Increasing clouds throughout the day with rain developing by sunset.  High temperature around 54.

Tonight- Rain, possibly mixing with snow by 10PM.  Snow may continue mixed with rain or sleet overnight, but no accumulation is expected.  Low temperature around 28.

Friday- Mostly sunny with a high temperature around 43.

Friday night- Clear and cold.  Low temperature around 25.

Saturday- Sunny with a high temperature around 45.

Saturday night- Mostly clear with a low temperature around 24.

Sunday- Other than a few scattered clouds, mostly sunny.  High temperature around 44.

Leesburg, VA

Today (Thursday)- Increasing clouds throughout the day.  High temperature around 37.

Tonight- Snow, possibly mixed with rain at first.  Total snow accumulations overnight around 2 inches.  Low temperature around 30.

Friday- Snow ending around sunrise giving way to mostly clear skies.  Winds will become stronger throughout the afternoon.  High temperature around 33.

Friday night- Clear, cold, and breezy.  Low temperature around 15.

Saturday- Mostly sunny and cold with a high temperature around 29.

Saturday night- Clear and cold.  Low temperature around 17.

Sunday- Sunny skies but still continued cold.  High temperature around 34.

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS


Today (Wednesday)- Mostly sunny skies and comfortable. High temperature around 50.

Tonight- Mostly clear in the evening, giving way to a few clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 34.

Thursday- A chance of showers mainly during the afternoon and evening. High temperature around 50.

Thursday night- Rain ending by midnight. There is a slight chance the rain could mix with sleet, but there will not be any accumulations.  Low temperatures around 29.

Friday- Mostly sunny and breezy.  A little chillier with a high temperature of around 36.

Friday night- Clear and much colder. Low temperature of around 20.

Saturday- Mostly sunny and slightly warmer.  High temperature of around 44.

Leesburg, VA

Today (Wednesday)- Rain ending during the mid morning hours.  Clouds will stick around for a good amount of the day, but there may be some partial clearing toward the evening.  High temperature around 42.

Tonight- Mostly clear skies.  Low temperature around 25.

Thursday- Increasing clouds throughout the afternoon. High temperature around 36.

Thursday night- Snow developing by about 9PM and continuing overnight.  Snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible.  Low temperature around 28.

Friday- Snow ending around 7AM.  Total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible.  Gradual clearing throughout the day with increasing winds by sunset.  High temperature around 34.

Friday night- Clear and very cold.  Breezy conditions likely.  Low temperature around 18.

Saturday- Partly cloudy and cold.  Winds should ease up a little bit.  High temperature around 32.

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Today (Tuesday)- Rain will continue through most of the day with a high temperature of 57.

Tonight- Rain ending in the evening, giving way to mostly cloudy skies. Low temperature around 31.

Wednesday- Clear skies through most of the day with a high temperature around 46.

Wednesday night- Increasing clouds, with a low of 32.

Thursday- Mostly Cloudy, with rain developing by late afternoon. High temperature around 55.

Thursday night- Rain continuing through about midnight, then possibly mixing with or changing to snow. No snow accumulation is expected right now.  All rain/snow should end by sunrise Friday morning. Low temperatures around 30.

Friday- Decreasing clouds through the morning/afternoon and breezy.  High temperature around 38
.
Leesburg, VA

Now: WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY- 0.1 to 0.3 inches of ice overnight.

Today (Tuesday)- Freezing rain ending between 9AM and 10AM becoming all rain as temperatures rise above freezing. Final ice accumulations around 0.25 inches.  Rain should end around 1PM but will remain cloudy with on and off showers throughout the day. High temperature around 38.

Tuesday night- A chance of rain and snow showers overnight, with little to no accumulation. Low around 30.

Wednesday- Clouds before noon, then partial clearing. High temperature around 42.

Wednesday night- Clear and a little breezy. Low temperatures around 25.

Thursday- Mainly clear, with a few clouds in the late afternoon and evening. High temperature around 37.

Thursday night- A chance of snow. (More info on any accumulation in the next day or so). Low temperature around 25.

Friday- A chance of snow before noon, then cloudy with partial clearing by sunset. High temperature around 33.