Severe Weather- Leesburg, VA

While it may seem strange that severe weather could be possible on a cloudy day with temperatures in the upper 50s, it is happening.  This is the current radar image for areas in and around Leesburg.  The large red box indicates a tornado watch which is in effect until 9 PM tonight.  There is a severe thunderstorm warning (yellow box) on the storm in Shenandoah and Frederick county, which is moving to the east-northeast.  This storm is capable of producing winds up to 60 MPH and heavy rain.  Expect this storm within the next 1 to 2 hours.  I do not expect very many tornadoes to develop today around Leesburg given the lower temperatures and available moisture.  However, that does not completely eliminate the risk.  Winds from the southeast at the surface coupled with winds from the southwest just 10,000 feet from the ground will help thunderstorms to rotate.  I will do my best to keep this updated as severe weather develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Mostly clear and breezy.  Winds gusting up to 30 MPH, calming down around sunrise.  Low temperature around 51.

Saturday-  Mostly sunny and cooler with a high temperature around 66.

Saturday night-  Clear and cool with a low temperature around 43.

Sunday-  Sunny and warmer with a high temperature around 78.

Sunday night-  Scattered clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 50.

Monday-  Mostly sunny with a few afternoon clouds.  High temperature around 81.

Monday night-  Scattered clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 62.

Tuesday-  Mostly sunny with scattered thunderstorms developing during the afternoon.  High temperature around 83.

Extended Forecast-  An afternoon thunderstorm is possible Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the mid 80s Wednesday and lower 80s Thursday.  Thunderstorms will be likely Friday with highs in the lower 80s.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Mostly cloudy with showers possible by sunrise.  Low temperature around 47.

Saturday-  Mostly cloudy and breezy with showers and thunderstorms throughout the afternoon.  Some storms could be strong during the afternoon with damaging winds in excess of 60 MPH and heavy rain.  Winds gusting up to 40 MPH outside of thunderstorms.  High temperature around 65.

Saturday night-  Cloudy with showers likely during the evening.  Partial clearing overnight but remaining breezy.  Winds gusting up to 30 MPH.  Low temperature around 46.

Sunday-  Mostly sunny and breezy.  Winds gusting up to 30 MPH.  High temperature around 66.

Sunday night-  Mostly clear with a low temperature around 45.

Monday-  Scattered clouds with a shower possible during the afternoon.  High temperature around 67.

Monday night-  Scattered clouds overnight.  Low temperature around 52.

Tuesday-  Mostly sunny and warmer with a high temperature around 75.

Extended Forecast-  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday, some possibly strong, with a high temperature in the lower 80s.  Clear skies will return Thursday with highs in the lower 70s.  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again Friday with highs around 70.

Severe Weather Outbreak- Starkville, MS

This is the current severe weather outlook according to the Storm Prediction Center.  A line of thunderstorms currently stretched across eastern Texas and western Arkansas will continue to push east ahead of a cold front and associated dryline.  Thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of this line during the afternoon Friday, moving through Starkville mainly between 2 and 5 PM.  While that sounds like a broad time frame, multiple rounds of storms will be possible.  Any storms developing ahead of the line will be in a very unstable atmosphere given the high amounts of wind shear and instability, causing them to rotate and become supercells and possibly produce tornadoes.  There is really no cap in place, so any storms that develop will explode upward which will also make large hail possible.  The main threats tomorrow will be for damaging winds in excess of 70 to 80 MPH, hail up to the size of baseballs, and strong/long-tracked tornadoes.  Stay aware of rapidly changing weather conditions as well as watches and warnings from the National Weather Service.  If a tornado warning is issued, do not drive.  Take shelter in a sturdy building away from doors and windows.  I will do my best to keep this updated as severe weather develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Mostly cloudy with showers possible before sunrise.  Low temperature around 67.

Friday-  Showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon.  Some storms will be severe with strong winds, large hail, and the possibility of tornadoes.  High temperature around 78.

Friday night-  Showers and thunderstorms during the evening.  Storms may be strong during the evening.  Remaining mostly cloudy overnight.  Low temperature around 52.

Saturday-  A few clouds in the morning, with sunshine during the afternoon.  Cooler with a high temperature around 69.

Saturday night-  Clear and cool with a low temperature around 46.

Sunday-  Sunny and warm with a high temperature around 76.

Sunday night-  Mostly cloudy with a shower possible overnight.  Low temperature around 53.

Monday-  Mostly sunny with a stray thunderstorm possible during the afternoon.  High temperature around 82.

Extended Forecast-  Showers and thunderstorms will be likely late Tuesday into Tuesday night with highs around 80.  An afternoon thunderstorm is possible Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the mid 80s.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Clear and cool with a low temperature around 44.

Friday-  Increasing clouds throughout the day.  High temperature around 60.

Friday night-  Cloudy with showers developing around sunrise.  Low temperature around 47.

Saturday-  Showers and thunderstorms likely, especially during the afternoon.  Breezy with winds gusting up to 30 MPH.  High temperature around 59.

Saturday night-  Showers and thunderstorms during the evening.  Remaining cloudy overnight.  Low temperature around 47.

Sunday-  Mostly sunny with a high temperature around 65.

Sunday night-  Clear with a low temperature around 44.

Monday-  Mostly sunny with a few afternoon clouds.  High temperature around 72.

Extended Forecast-  Sun and clouds are expected Tuesday through Thursday with afternoon showers possible each day.  Highs will be in the mid 70s Tuesday, around 80 Wednesday, and in the mid 70s Thursday.

Severe Weather Possible- Starkville, MS

This is the current severe weather outlook according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop tomorrow in parts of Oklahoma and western Arkansas and push east overnight making their way through Starkville by Friday afternoon.  Latest models show relatively high amounts of instability along with ample moisture and warm air.  However, unlike the last round of severe weather, southeasterly surface winds and west winds aloft make the environment much more favorable for the development of tornadoes.  Although it may seem unethical to predict a tornado outbreak, the Storm Prediction Center says a "tornado outbreak is becoming increasingly possible".  Thunderstorms and some supercells are expected to develop during the afternoon across most of Mississippi and track to the east and northeast.  Some of which will produce large hail, damaging winds, and the possibility of strong long-tracked tornadoes.  Stay aware of rapidly changing weather and alerts from the National Weather Service.  I will have more updates tomorrow and during the day Friday as severe weather develops.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Clear with a low temperature around 51.

Thursday-  Sunny and warm.  High temperature around 83.

Thursday night-  Increasing clouds and mild with a shower possible by sunrise.  Low temperature around 62.

Friday-  Mostly cloudy and breezy with thunderstorms developing during the afternoon.  Some storms may be severe with damaging winds and heavy rain. (Details in an upcoming post).  Winds gusting up to 30 MPH and higher in thunderstorms.  High temperature around 78.

Friday night-  Showers and thunderstorms during the evening, with clearing overnight.  Cooler with a low temperature around 47.

Saturday-  Sunny with a high temperature around 72.

Saturday night-  Clear and cool with a low temperature around 46.

Sunday-  Sunny and warmer with a high temperature around 78.

Extended Forecast-  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again late Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.  Highs will be around 80 Monday, lower 80s Tuesday, and in the mid 70s Tuesday.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Clear and cool.  Low temperature around 43.

Thursday-  Sunny and mild with a high temperature around 67.

Thursday night-  Mostly clear with a low temperature around 46.

Friday-  Scattered clouds and sun throughout the day.  High temperature around 65.

Friday night-  Increasing clouds with showers likely overnight.  Low temperature around 44.

Saturday-  Showers and thunderstorms likely throughout most of the day.  Cooler with a high temperature around 58.

Saturday night-  Showers likely during the evening, with partial clearing overnight.  Low temperature around 42.

Sunday-  Mostly sunny with a high temperature around 64.

Extended Forecast-  Monday will stay clear with high temperatures in the mid 60s.  Showers will return Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday, with highs in the lower 70s Tuesday and mid 70s Wednesday.

Forecast for Starkville, MS and Leesburg, VA

Starkville, MS

Overnight-  Clear skies and cooler.  Low temperature around 53.

Tuesday-  Sunny and cooler.  High temperature around 72.

Tuesday night-  Clear with a low temperature around 47.

Wednesday-  Sunny and warmer with a high temperature around 78.

Wednesday night-  Clear with a low temperature around 51.

Thursday-  Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms developing late in the day.  High temperature around 79.

Thursday night-  Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly during the evening.  Low temperature around 58.

Friday-  Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon.  High temperature around 75.

Extended Forecast-  Sunshine will return Saturday and Sunday but temperatures will be much cooler.  Expect highs in the upper 60s Saturday and around 70 Sunday.  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again Monday with highs in the mid 70s.

Leesburg, VA

Overnight-  Mostly cloudy and mild with rain developing before sunrise.  Low temperature around 64.

Tuesday-  Mostly cloudy with showers and possibly a thunderstorm likely for most of the day.  High temperature around 65.

Tuesday night-  Cloudy and cooler with showers likely overnight.  Low temperature around 46.

Wednesday-  Mostly cloudy with a shower possible during the morning.  High temperature around 59.

Wednesday night-  Mostly clear and cooler.  Low temperature around 41.

Thursday-  Sunny and mild with a high temperature around 68.

Thursday night-  Scattered clouds overnight with a low temperature around 49.

Friday-  Increasing clouds throughout the afternoon with showers and thunderstorms developing late in the day.  High temperature around 71.

Extended Forecast-  Shower and thunderstorms will be likely Saturday with highs in the upper 60s.  Clear skies will return Sunday and Monday with highs in the upper 50s Sunday and around 60 Monday.